Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 4.707464 5.201120 5.727617 6.331503 7.005727 7.736123 8.588373
2026-01-04 3.951105 4.643252 5.432466 6.401512 7.562819 8.914112 10.611876
2026-01-11 3.383895 4.183703 5.147492 6.400286 7.994258 9.965858 12.606709
2026-01-18 2.933825 3.785024 4.859636 6.325879 8.289818 10.851133 14.479748
2026-01-25 2.578393 3.450222 4.595922 6.226380 8.510751 11.632468 16.281532
2026-02-01 2.294122 3.169666 4.361544 6.122152 8.689811 12.349037 18.050842
2026-02-08 2.060737 2.929581 4.150214 6.014800 8.834639 13.009881 19.791750
2026-02-15 1.884459 2.749947 4.001620 5.973850 9.058901 13.793198 21.790207
2026-02-22 1.778582 2.661035 3.973141 6.103235 9.545871 15.016071 24.617538
2026-03-01 1.647355 2.520310 3.850968 6.070056 9.764183 15.822975 26.838040
2026-03-08 1.501355 2.343209 3.655361 5.897186 9.730297 16.200654 28.348007
2026-03-15 1.399049 2.226297 3.543978 5.849208 9.895698 16.923214 30.544304
2026-03-22 1.341434 2.179109 3.544639 5.994942 10.419406 18.343084 34.243186
2026-03-29 1.282739 2.125288 3.529575 6.111721 10.903491 19.745096 38.099237
2026-04-05 1.212949 2.046769 3.465459 6.134227 11.215292 20.858061 41.528780
2026-04-12 1.136400 1.950317 3.361849 6.074042 11.362837 21.668060 44.438326
2026-04-19 1.062493 1.852757 3.248189 5.983804 11.440975 22.345301 47.149837
2026-04-26 0.994290 1.760304 3.136351 5.886251 11.492989 22.971250 49.826791
2026-05-03 0.931515 1.673186 3.027558 5.784431 11.524711 23.554961 52.481685
2026-05-10 0.882198 1.607564 2.954009 5.745661 11.682148 24.420649 55.909040
2026-05-17 0.856709 1.585111 2.960890 5.869866 12.196832 26.121529 61.584447
2026-05-24 0.814680 1.527773 2.895491 5.838174 12.368122 27.068529 65.523427
2026-05-31 0.760931 1.443921 2.771694 5.672551 12.224766 27.274248 67.592593